Category Archives: LESSONS IN LOGIC

LESSONS IN LOGIC

America: Created By Political Novices, Ruled By Tyrannical ‘Experts’

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America was created by political novices. Please, go ahead and research it for yourself. You will find that there were 145 unique individuals who signed one of our founding documents at least once. Look further and you will find another 100 or so men and women who did not sign one of our founding documents, but who are still considered to be a major figure in the founding of this nation. What’s more, if you take the time to look into their backgrounds, you will find that very few of them had what we, today, would think of as political backgrounds.

You will find that nearly half of them were either pastors or held seminary degrees. You will find farmers, lawyers, doctors, educators, inventors, merchants — even a rather famous silver smith. But you will find very, very few who were in government their entire lives. And, when you do find examples of men who were involved in government their whole lives, you will find that government was seldom their full time job. This is because — at the time — the job of ‘government’ rarely paid enough to support one’s self. You see, most government positions were considered to be part time civil service to the nation, not life-long careers.

What this means is that the Declaration of Independence and the U.S. Constitution were written by men who were largely novices at the game of international politics, war and nation building. So, how did we go from a nation being built by novices to a nation ruled by ‘experts?’ And why, when we were ruled by novices, did the nation enjoy more freedom and more prosperity than it does today under these ‘experts?’ Well, the answer is easy, but, once again, you have to know and understand a little history.

The rule of ‘experts’ started under Woodrow Wilson. He envisioned a nation where the President may be elected every four years, but he would be little more than a figurehead. In Wilson’s view of America, the nation would be ‘scientifically administrated’ by a group of ‘elite experts.’ These would be people hand-picked and educated within an elite group of universities. They would be trained to become ‘experts’ in their fields, then appointed to various branches of the government where they would then decide how best to run the country. The President would suggest what the nation should do, but these ‘experts’ would be the ones who would decide whether or not it should be done and, if so, how it should be done.

This gave rise to two things. First, it became what we know today as ‘bureaucratic’ government (otherwise known as a ‘technocracy’). This bureaucracy lead to the inevitable belief that everything had to be managed by ‘experts.’ After all, they were highly trained specialists in their field, so it was natural to assume they knew best how to handle matters in their respective divisions of the government. It also helped that these same people had their friends in the media push this idea. After all, they were ‘smarter’ than the masses, so the masses should learn to trust and obey them because they knew best. And so the People became trained to accept the claim that we are better off trusting the experts. Worse, they believed it when they were told that, unless they were also an ‘expert,’ their opinion didn’t matter for much. The problem is, these were all lies, and they remain lies to this very day.

If the truth were known, the majority of the people we consider to be ‘experts’ are among the least qualified people in their fields. This is because they go from home, to the elite colleges where they are groomed by people who believe in and enforce this technocracy. They will only be passed forward into the organs of government if they are deemed to have sufficiently conformed to their indoctrination. So, they go from these elitist schools, directly into their respective fields where they are then ‘mentored’ by other ‘experts.’ Once they start being ‘mentored,’ they are then taught about the system, but they learn very little about the actual work they were supposed to be doing for the people. Consequently, even if they are inserted into a field such as the Department of Education, or Agriculture, they will know little about actual teaching or farming. Instead, they will be ‘experts’ in covering their butts, passing responsibility and blame, climbing the bureaucratic ladder and pushing their political agendas. Lest the reader doubt me, look at the people in all levels of government — from both Parties — and then try to tell me I am wrong with a straight face.

So, what the rule of ‘experts’ actually creates is a government which grows bigger and less responsive to the people with every passing year. Ass more and more ‘experts’ are inserted into the system, there is more and more need to grow the system to accommodate them. And as these ‘experts’ learn to operate within this technocracy, they start looking for more and more ways to make themselves important. This means acquiring more power and control, as well as making themselves wealthy off the taxpayer. Eventually, this system opens the door to Fascism.

You see, many of these hand-picked kids who go to these elite universities are indoctrinated into the system, but they are not placed in the government bureaucracies. Instead, they are placed in the media and entertainment industry, or into the corporate world. Once they are placed into their ‘private’ positions, they start to do the same things with their ‘private’ organizations as their counterparts in the bureaucracies do with the government. They turn them into their own little kingdoms, and start their own scramble to the top of their own little mountains.

But the ‘experts’ placed in these ‘private’ companies still know all their friends from the elite universities, and together, they were all indoctrinated by the same educators who are pushing the same technocratic agenda. Consequently, those friendships are exploited, and the ‘experts’ running these ‘private’ companies start to work with and cooperate with their friends in the bureaucracies. In other words, the news and entertainment industries, as well as corporate America, all start to get into bed with the government. Folks, this is called Fascism! It is what Wilson envisioned, and it is what we have in America today.

Now, here is the neat little truth about this system of technocratic ‘experts.’ It not only leads to tyranny, it creates a very weak and fragile nation. Why do I say weak? The answer would be simple — to a real ‘expert.’ The nation becomes weak because Fascism leads to consolidation, and consolidation of the things that make a nation work also makes that nation weak. We all saw this in operation not too long ago. If you are old enough to remember the rash of “too big to fail” bailouts, what you were witnessing was panic over the realization that our fragile infrastructure was collapsing. But how did it become fragile? By fewer and fewer ‘friends from the elite universities’ succeeding in consolidating their own little part of the system.

Here’s an example. In WW II, this nation had some 20 companies making military aircraft in some 40 plants. Today, were down to less than half a dozen companies that make aircraft for the U.S., and even fewer plants. What’s more, many of the sub-contractors that deliver essential components of these aircraft are located overseas. Sometimes, those sub-contractors are even in nations hostile to the U.S., such as China. This happens by consolidating companies, which happens less by functions of the free market, and more by political deal-making. One politician does something to get this contract for his district, which means a company making a better aircraft looses its contract and goes out of business. That same politician then mandates that the company he just helped give some of its work to a foreign nation that is contributing to the politicians campaign. This goes on for a few years and, pretty soon, you are down to just a few companies that cannot even make a complete aircraft on their own because too many things have been both centralized and given out as favors in return for helping to make that consolidation possible. The net result is inevitable: the U.S. gets stuck with an aircraft industry that does not make the best possible aircraft for the military because there is no real competition, so their is no real innovation, which leads to fewer types and less capable aircraft. Again, if the reader doubts me, just look up how many types of aircraft were on a U.S. aircraft carrier in the Vietnam War and compare it to today. And, if you think that this idea of ‘one plane to do all jobs’ explains the dramatic reduction in aircraft types, go look up the story of the F-111. It was a disaster caused by politics, and that disaster has been repeated with the F-35 — and for the exact same reason.

This same process is why the insurance, banking and other ‘too-big-to-fail- industries almost failed. When a business or government does not have to pay the price for failure, then it will not be careful in how it operates. Why should it? Someone will bail them out, raise taxes or print money. All that matters is gaining more power and more control while making as much money as you can for yourself in the process. This is our reality today. It is the system that now controls us. It is corrupt by design, and it is all run by ‘experts.’ It is also exactly what both Parties in this country want: a system of total control over the People so they can fight among themselves over who gets to control the system.

Oh, and lest you think that you can break out of this system by realizing you are actually smarter than these ‘experts,’ and understand a lot more about a great many more fields than they do, well, stop. You see, the moment you try to point out that the ‘experts’ are actually incompetent in their fields, you will be ‘cancelled.’ Does ‘Dr. Fauci’ ring any bells here?

It is all about control — period! And it is all built on lies — period!

ADDENDUM

There is an additional aspect to this issue I didn’t mention in the post. The more specialized a person is, the more likely they are to push a ‘solution’ that will make matters worse. Why do I say this? Well, if all you ever do is focus on and work with a framing hammer, then everything you ever see will look like a nail to you. This might be fine and good if you are actually working with nails, but the moment you have to drive a screw, things are going to start going wrong. You will try to drive the screw with your hammer, the board then splits, and the structure falls apart. What usually happens then is, the hammer guy blames someone else for his problem and then insists that none of this would have happened if he had just been given more money. So he tells his buddy in government to blame the failure on the evil screw-driver guys, and use them as an excuse to raise taxes so the hammer guy can have more money to hammer in light bulbs.

Lest you think this is another exaggeration, I would ask you to read a few books on economics. I can recommend some good ones if you like. I know a few that were written to show exactly how much damage is caused by ‘experts’ who have no idea how their policies affect the other areas in our economy. For example, for every 1% increase in unemployment, another 10,000 people die as a direct or indirect result of losing their income. Our economy and society are filled with these sort of relationships, but the ‘experts’ are blind to them because they are not ‘experts’ in anything but the acquisition of personal power and wealth off the backs of the very people they are supposed to serve and protect.

I say again: it is all about control, and it is all evil!

LESSONS IN LOGIC, Politics, Propaganda, SOCIAL ENGINEERING

The Great Reset And How ‘They’ Lie With The Truth

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No matter where you are in your understanding of the agenda known as ‘The Great Reset,’ I implore you to read this post. ‘They’ will tell you that there is no conspiracy to eliminate Capitalism and private property, and they are correct! However, even though they are being truthful, they are still lying to you. I know this sounds wrong. How can a person lie by telling the truth? There is a simple answer, but you have to know and understand a few things before the answer will make sense. Please, give me the time to explain.

First, the Global Reset is real. There are videos and published books and papers available on line for all to see. They were produced by the people who created this thing that ‘They’ have named, “The Great Reset.” Furthermore, they have stated — as part of their objectives — that we will soon have no private property, but we will still be happy — all of us. The plan is real. The people behind it are real. the goal of changing the world economy is real. You can find all of it, in great detail, you just have to spend a lot of time finding it, then reading and watching it. If you spend the time to do the work, you will find that I am telling you the absolute truth. So, why do ‘They’ tell you “The Great reset” is not a secret conspiracy to end Capitalism and private property?

The answer is found in the way ‘They’ use language. To ‘Them,’ language is both a tool and a weapon. ‘They’ use it to shape, direct and control public opinion, which is then used to push their political agenda. In short, ‘They’ believe ‘They’ can control us through the way ‘They’ use language. The shockingly sad part is, in most cases, it works! In this case, the case of ‘The Great Reset’ not being a secret conspiracy, here is how it works:

Essential Meaning of conspiracy

1 : a secret plan made by two or more people to do something that is harmful or illegal The CIA uncovered a conspiracy against the government.

2 : the act of secretly planning to do something that is harmful or illegal They were accused of conspiracy to commit murder.

Remember, I told you that ‘They’ have made a plan to eliminate Capitalism and private property. Remember, I told you that they have published ‘Their’ plans. You can find them in print and on video. This means they are public, which means they are not secret. So, when ‘They’ tell you they have not conspired to eliminate Capitalism and private property, ‘They’ are telling the truth.

Now, to the average person, this might seem like a meaningless word game. I assure you, this is far from meaningless. This line of reasoning and manipulation of the language is actually behind many of the lies ‘They’ have told us over the years. If you are old enough to remember Bill Clinton’s impeachment, then you might recall the joke that was made out of Clinton’s comment during the trial in which Clinton replied to a question by saying: “It depends on what the meaning of ‘is,’ is.” You see, Clinton was using language as a weapon against his political enemies and a tool to escape responsibility for his sexually immoral actions.

Once you have learned to look for these manipulations of the language, you will start seeing them everywhere. You will find them in the ‘news’ media, in political speeches, in your TV shows and movies — even in your music. These manipulations of our language are everywhere. They are intentional. And they are lies!

Going back to ‘The Great Reset,’ the issue is not about whether or not there is a conspiracy (i.e. a secret plan). The issue is, do ‘They’ plan to end Capitalism and eliminate private property. The answer to that is, YES! ‘They’ say so in their published plans and videos. But, by truthfully claiming ‘Their’ plan is not a secret conspiracy, they trick people into dropping their interest in the actual claim. In short, ‘They’ know the average person will hear the truth about ‘Their’ plan not being a conspiracy and believe that means ‘They’ have no plans to end Capitalism and private property. So, when ‘They’ tell the truth about not having a conspiracy in order to convince people ‘They’ are not going to end Capitalism and private property, ‘They’ are actually lying.

Now, most people would consider lying to the people to be bad enough, but ‘They’ know ‘They’ are doing more than just lying to the people. By convincing the people that ‘They’ are not involved in a conspiracy theory, ‘They’ actually draft the people into ‘Their’ defense system. Now, when the people hear others trying to expose the whole truth about ‘Their’ plans, the people will attack the truth-tellers and accuse them of being ‘crazy conspiracy theorists.’ This is also something ‘They’ did. It is part of ‘Project Mocking Bird’ and ‘M K Ultra.’ Both are CIA programs designed to control the public’s opinions and reactions to ‘the news.’

There is so very much to ‘Their’ plans, and ‘Their’ tactics to achieve ‘Their’ goals that the public not only doesn’t know, but refuses to even investigate, most because of how successful ‘They’ have been in ‘Their’ efforts to control the public’s mind. I have been trying to explain this to people for almost twenty years now, and I honestly can’t say I have opened a single person’s eyes to the true reality in which they live. It honestly is a global matrix, and those who will take the red pill are so few, they can be counted on both hands. So, I’ve stopped trying to open eyes. Now, I just scream into the void of cyber space.

However, there are those who have spiritual ears to hear, and spiritual eyes to see. To these few, I can show the hidden hand behind this agenda. After all, a believer already knows that Satan used the truth to lie to Eve, and look how that turned out for Man. So, what is the true purpose behind the drive to eliminate Capitalism and private property really all about? The answer is simple: it is part of the cosmic battle being fought between YHWH and those in rebellion to His Law. Here, let me explain by using the Founding Fathers’ own words. First, let us look back at what they had to say about people who corrupt the use of language:

“Whoever would overthrow the liberty of a nation must begin by subduing the freeness of speech.”

— Benjamin Franklin

Why is this true? Because:

“When people are universally ignorant, and debauched in their Manners, they will sink under their own weight without the aid of foreign invaders.”

— Samuel Adams

So, in order to trick, deceive or mislead the people into universal ignorance and/or debauched manners (i.e. irreligious), the would-be tyrant must do what? Pervert the meaning of words (and how language is used):

“How strangely will the Tools of a Tyrant pervert the plain Meaning of Words!”

— Samuel Adams

You see? The Founders knew that, if we — as a People — grew ignorant and irreligious, then the times in which we live would come. Now, let’s look at what the Founders had to say about private property, which is the very essence of the thing we call, “Capitalism:”

“There is not a single instance in history in which civil liberty was lost, and religious liberty preserved entire. If therefore we yield up our temporal property, we at the same time deliver the conscience into bondage.”

— John Witherspoon

In other words, if the American People give up their claim to The True Religion (i.e. belief in and obedience to the God of the Bible), then we would lose all our property and liberties. Why? How did they make that connection? Well, it starts here:

“A people… who are possessed of the spirit of commerce, who see and who will pursue their advantages may achieve almost anything.”

– George Washington

In other words, a free people who have the rights to their private property secured can do anything they set their minds to do. This is very similar to the language in the Bible when YHWH observes that the people building the tower of Babel will be able to do anything they set their minds to do. YHWH split them up because He knew this would lead them to destruction because it would cause them to worship false gods, or even themselves. The Founders extrapolated this Biblical lesson to the freedom found in private property. If you have private property, you are free to worship YHWH. But, if you have nothing of your own, you will be dependent upon whoever or whatever feeds you. The Founders understood this would always be a tyrant of some form, and so, they linked liberty to the essential right to private property. To them, protecting that private property was the primary purpose of ‘good’ government:

“Government is instituted to protect property of every sort; as well that which lies in the various rights of individuals, as that which the term particularly expresses. This being the end of government, that alone is a just government which impartially secures to every man whatever is his own.”

– James Madison, Essay on Property, 1792

The Founders rejected the idea that government can be ‘good’ if and when it takes from the labor of the industrious person and gives it to the lazy. Or, in modern terms, the Founders considered the welfare state to be evil:

“To take from one, because it is thought his own industry and that of his fathers has acquired too much, in order to spare to others, who, or whose fathers, have not exercised equal industry and skill, is to violate arbitrarily the first principle of association, the guarantee to everyone the free exercise of his industry and the fruits acquired by it.”

— Thomas Jefferson, letter to Joseph Milligan, April 6, 1816

The Founders also said that, the moment the People start to accept that private property is not sacred, that society becomes ripe for plunder by tyrants:

“The moment the idea is admitted into society that property is not as sacred as the laws of God, and that there is not a force of law and public justice to protect it, anarchy and tyranny commence. If ‘Thou shalt not covet’ and ‘Thou shalt not steal’ were not commandments of Heaven, they must be made inviolable precepts in every society before it can be civilized or made free.”

— John Adams, A Defense of the Constitutions of Government of the United States of America, 1787

I could go on, but those who will hear and see already understand, and no amount of additional quotes and explanation will open the eyes and ears of those who refuse to understand. The point is simple:

The Great Reset is real.

‘They’ lie about their goals by telling you just enough truth to put you to sleep.

‘Their’ ultimate goal is control over you by making you dependent upon them for your very life.

The ultimate force behind ‘Them’ is Satan.

And from here, I will leave you to do the rest of the math for yourself…

ADDENDUM

If you don’t like him, fine — ignore him. But the information is spot-on, and you need to be aware of it. So, do yourself a favor and watch (and remember, this version was edited so YouTube would ‘allow’ it):

Must Watch: Glenn Beck Explains The Great Reset Jargon Coming Down The Pike For Corporate America And How It Will Affect Every American

Longer (better, unedited) version:

Glenn Beck Wed. Night Special

LESSONS IN LOGIC, Politics

LESSONS IN LOGIC: Will Real Americans Fall For The GOP’s ‘Kick The Football’ Trick Again In 2022?

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I’m going to keep this one short — mostly because this says it all:

Maybe I should have titled this one:

If you keep on doing what you’ve always done, you’re gonna keep on getting what you’ve always got.

OR:

If you keep doing the same thing expecting a different result,…

The GOP promised to push the Conservative agenda under Bush, if America would just give them the majority. America gave the GOP the House, Senate and Presidency and what did the GOP do? Gave us more spending than ever, TARP, The Patriot Act, Roberts and they legalized government propaganda.

They asked for the majority under Obama and we gave it to them. What did the GOP do? They did absolutely nothing to help Obama and everything they could to stop the TEA Party.

We gave the GOP the Senate under Trump and what did they do? They gave us two more bad judges on The SCOTUS and they worked with Democrats to undermine Trump.

The fact — FACT — is simple: every time the GOP has power, they govern like Democrats. And at no time do they ever work to stop, let alone reverse, the Democrat Party agenda. So, seriously, why vote for them? All we’re getting is Democrat-Lite policies.

But, in 2022, that GOP Lucy will tell the lemmings they have to vote in more Republicans than ever before or they will be electing more evil Democrats.

And what will the Charlie Brown lemmings do? They will line up to kick that stupid football one more time — promising themselves that — this time — they would get to kick it.

And the Right calls itself ‘red-pilled.’ HA! Most of them have been blue-pilled, it just had to be fed to them by the likes of NCIS, Blue Bloods, Hannity and Limbaugh (yes, I know that smarts — but it’s true 🙂 ).

OK, go ahead — hate on me. I can take it.

LESSONS IN LOGIC

LESSONS IN LOGIC: Hanlon’s Razor Does Not Apply To Politics

Hanlon’s Razor goes something like this:

“Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity.”

This is a valid principle — for most things. However, when it comes to politics Hanlon’s Razor does not apply. When it comes to politics, FDR’s Maxim is a much better guideline:

“In politics, nothing happens by accident. If it happened, you can bet it was planned that way.“

Now, before anyone starts to argue with my assertion that FDR’s Maxim is a better guide to understanding political events than Hanlon’s Razor, let me explain why I said it.

First, in this day and age: to assume the people in power are there by accident is a mistake. It underestimates the degree of concentration of control over our social, economic and political systems, and the level of competence that was necessary to concentrate that control. Therefore, it is safer to assume that the people we see in politics — even if not competent, themselves — are under the control of highly competent people. Just because we do not see those people does not mean they do not exist, or that they are working from a plan — because they do, and they are.

This brings us to the second pint in favor of FDR’s Maxim: the people who have concentrated control over our world actually study how to do so. They study the work of people such as Edward Bernays, Walter Lippmann, John Calhoun, Martin Seligman, Stanley Milgram and many more. The goal has always been how to manipulate and control people so efficiently, they not only don’t notice they are being controlled, but they actually participate in it. They have even written about how they can do these things without anyone realizing they are doing it. That’s what this book is all about:

And this one is about how to use the media to help in the effort:

So is this one, and it is written by the author who is credited for the invention of propaganda and modern political ‘spin:’

And this one explains how to use propaganda (the author is the same man Goebbels credited for teaching the NAZI’s how to use propaganda):

This book was written by one of the ‘They:’ a man inside this groups of controllers, and it explains what their plans are and how they are doing it. It even reveals that the two Parties in America are actually one Party pretending to be two, for the purposes of providing outlets for public hostility toward the ultimate goal:

This book uses public sources to reveal the group behind the scenes and explain what they seek to do, and how:

And this one uses hundreds of public records to reveal who the people are controlling our society; to explain how they do it; and to illustrate examples of their progress and success. This is a well-sourced, wide-ranging expose of something most people refuse to believe is actually happening:

These are just a small sampling of the many essays and books that have either been published by or about the people who work behind the scenes. These people are trying to re-make Mankind: both our nature, as well as our society. They can be known. They have never been totally secret. They can’t help but boast about their plans. You just have to know where to find the information, take time to read it, then accept it as the truth: they mean what they say and say what they mean and are in the process of making it all happen.

Just think how the world might have been different had it followed this advice in regard to the mad-man who wrote this crazy conspiracy book:

So, given that all the people who wrote or were written about in these books have all been in or connected to the U.S. Government and the social controls it employs, which is actually the more plausible solution to the problem:

That people such as these are just stupid?

Or that everything they do has been carefully planned and executed?

Another razor — Ockham’s Razor, not only does apply here, it makes that calculus fairly easy.

Assuming all other things are equal, then the simplest and most likely answer to perceived stupidity is not that we have elected a never ending stream of stupid and incompetent people, but that there is a hidden agenda which actually makes sense of everything we perceive as stupid and incompetent.

Which brings us to my last question:

What sort of agenda could make sense of all the apparently stupid, incompetent and senseless things we see in politics?

[I have answers for you, but I warn you: You’re not going to like them 🙂 ]

Science

A Refresher On The Scientific Method

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This really shouldn’t be necessary; everyone in the Western world should be well-acquainted with the scientific method. Sadly, however, we’ve either forgotten or, if my fears are correct, may never have been taught about it in our public school system. So, for those of us who have forgotten, or for the sake of those who were never taught, this is what the scientific method is and how it works.

I took this from “The World Book Encyclopedia,”1973, pg 167.

I used this source for two reasons. First, it comes from a time when our society was still anchored to rational reality. Second, as a picture of a hard-copy book, it cannot be easily altered. This is important as ‘They’ have started to alter definitions in real time. They just go into the website or pdf or kindle book on your machine and change the text without ever telling you that they changed things, or what they changed. And, please, don’t doubt me on this one. The gentleman who goes by the name, ‘A0moly,’ on Facebook, already did a video showing them changing the definition of ‘Fascism’ to suit their political agenda, and he shows how they did it in real time. So, if you think I am being dishonest about the risk of having things changed on you, please, look into it for yourself.

OK, back to the scientific method. First, it is just that: a method of researching a specific phenomenon for the purposes of better understanding it and predicting its behavior under a given number of circumstances. Like any specialty branch of logic, it is neutral, and can be conducted properly or improperly. And, like all other forms of logic, it is susceptible to being misused for nefarious purposes. It is important that we never forget this as, for too many people, the idea of ‘science’ carries the mistaken notion of ‘infallible fact.’ The truth of the matter is, science has never and will never establish anything as ‘fact’ — because it can’t. That is outside of its abilities. All science does is give us a probability of certitude and nothing more.

Now, with that said, let’s look at the five general parts to this method:

1 — Stating the problem.

2 — Forming a hypothesis.

3 — Observing and experimenting.

4 — Interpreting the data.

5 — Drawing conclusions.

Stating the Problem:

This is the step where the ‘scientist’ notices a phenomenon which he/she wishes to examine further, either to better understand or predict how that phenomenon will behave under different sets of circumstance.

Forming a Hypothesis (i.e. educated guess):

At this point, the ‘scientist’ forms an hypothesis (or, educated guess) as to why the phenomenon is or behaves the way he/she has observed, or as to how the phenomenon might behave under different circumstance.

Observing and Experimenting:

In this step, the ‘scientist’ usually conducts experiments to gather more information about the nature and behavior of the phenomenon being studied.

Interpreting the Data:

In this phase, the ‘scientist’ tries to make sense of the data collected as a result of testing.

Drawing Conclusions:

Finally, the ‘scientist’ uses the data he/she collected to determine whether or not it supports his/her hypothesis.

https://media1.tenor.com/images/cbf642d6a9033e5953037624dd7882f0/tenor.gif

That’s right! There is more to the scientific method. This time, let’s look at the places and ways where we can get things wrong.

Stating the Problem:

We are all human (well, most of us are, anyway — given the events of 2020, some of us may be lizard people). This means we all have personal biases. Guess what? If you do not know how to control for those personal biases, they will (not might, will) cause you to see things in a way that does not reflect reality. Personal biases can come from religious beliefs, political beliefs, or something as simple as greed or economic pressures. Learning how to control for personal bias takes a great deal of training and personal discipline. At times, it can also require a great deal of moral courage. Additionally, this training and discipline must be maintained, as they are not one of those things we can learn once and never have to worry about again. You have to constantly control for bias, and at every step of the scientific method. Otherwise, you are going to be doomed from the start because you are going to start from flawed observations and assumptions — which means your statement of the problem will be all wrong.

Forming a Hypothesis (i.e. educated guess):

Forming an hypothesis is the point where we gather all the data we already know about the phenomenon in question. Then we look for what we know about anything that may be closely related to or associated with the phenomenon. After gathering as much information as we can on the phenomenon, we form an hypothesis (make an educated guess) as to why the phenomenon is or behaves the way it does, or how the phenomenon will react under a given set of circumstances.

This is a perilous process: especially if the researcher holds a bias that causes them to accept false assumptions or reject factual observations. This is a very real threat, and it happens more often than we might expect. Once again, this is why we have to guard against our personal biases getting in the way of our seeing clearly.

Observing and Experimenting:

At this point, we design and conduct experiments to gather more data on the nature or behavior of the phenomenon in question. We must take great care to test and re-test the design of our experiments. They must be designed in a way that will accurately test our hypothesis, but also, be free from any influences caused by bias. Our tests should actually measure what we are trying to study, and they must be repeatable. Others should be able to follow behind us using our tests and methods and achieve the same results.

We also have to guard against our biases when we conduct our tests. It is not enough to design a bias-free test, we have to run the test without bias, as well. Otherwise, we run the risk of skewing the test result and corrupting our data. For this reason, designing and conducting experimentation is one of the hardest places to control personal bias and, therefore, one of the places ‘scientists’ most often go off track.

Interpreting the Data:

Interpreting the data is probably the step with the highest risk of bias contamination. This is because most people get invested in their work, so they have a personal interest in seeing their work affirmed. Naturally, this desire to be ‘right’ causes all but the most disciplined researchers to find affirmation of their hypothesis in their data. We also have to be very careful that we allow for alternate assumptions that may be drawn from our data. It is just as likely that we will actually disprove our hypothesis as prove it — and even then, we don’t really ‘prove’ anything. We merely determine a percentage of certainty of a given characteristic or behavior. Therefore, once again, we must be extra careful to guard against personal bias when analyzing the data from our testing.

Drawing Conclusions:

Finally, drawing conclusions. This is just another point where personal bias can get us sideways. If we are not careful, we might actually throw away a carefully designed and properly conducted test because we disagree with or do not like the data it revealed. Believe it or not, this has happened in the past — many times.

A Final Consideration:

‘Science’ never proves anything, because it can’t. That is not what it is designed to do, and advances in science constantly testify to this fact. Where once we were certain the atom was the smallest particle of matter, we later learned it was definitely protons neutrons and electrons, only to learn we were mistaken — again. Then there were quarks and leptons and other sub-atomic particles. The point here is, each time, ‘science’ was certain it had proved what it knew as ‘fact’ — but it had not. Subsequent discoveries forced ‘science’ to change what it knew.

The same thing applies to actions or events. ‘Science’ can provide a percentage of certainty, but nothing more. It cannot prove the sun will come up tomorrow. However unlikely it may seem, it is within the realm of possibility that an un-detected asteroid large enough to shatter the earth could strike the planet and destroy it before sunrise tomorrow. This is an extreme example, I know, but it is also an easy one to understand (which is why I used it).

The point here is simple: no matter what we may be told or think about it, ‘science’ is not capable of proving anything as a fact. It merely describes observed phenomenon and provides a percentage of certainty that the observation, action or prediction are accurate.

OK, let’s wrap up this little lesson. What have we learned?

1 — The scientific method is just that — a method designed to help us conduct accurate research.

2 — The scientific method is vulnerable to personal bias that can skew the entire process.

3 — Even if conducted perfectly, the scientific method can never prove anything. All it can give us is a probability of a given action/reaction.

REAL WORLD EXAMPLE:

OK, let’s look at a real-world example that will demonstrate why our misunderstanding of ‘science’ can be dangerous. Let’s look at the issue of global warming.

THE CLIMATE-CHANGE ARGUMENT:

Stating the Problem:

The ‘settled science’ claims that the earth’s climate is changing for the worse.

Forming a Hypothesis (i.e. educated guess):

The hypothesis is that Man’s activities are causing the current change, and that these changes are having a negative effect on the planet.

Observing and Experimenting:

Predictive weather models have been constructed to demonstrate that Man is negatively affecting the change in earth’s climate.

Interpreting the Data:

Observed data supports the hypothesis.

Drawing Conclusions:

Man is negatively affecting earth’s climate, and we must do something to repair the damage he has caused.

OBJECTIONS TO THE CLIMATE-CHANGE ARGUMENT:

Stating the Problem:

1 — Previously, the same people claimed that the earth was cooling, but they failed to prove it.

2 — Then the same people claimed the earth was warming, and failed to prove it.

3 — Finally, they changed to an observation that makes as much sense as stating water is wet: that the earth’s climate is changing. Yes, we know. It has been changing ever since the climate formed.

Forming a Hypothesis (i.e. educated guess):

1 — Before testing, an hypothesis can be neither right or wrong, so — OK.

Observing and Experimenting:

1 — One must be able to test a phenomenon before data can be collected or conclusions drawn.

2 — The Climate Change Camp has never actually conducted a test.

3 — They use predictive models they designed and compare their predictions to observed weather data in place of actual testing. This is one level removed from sound scientific practices.

4 — The models that are being used cannot possibly know the base-line parameters necessary to any model being accurate. At a minimum, these parameters would include: 1). the median temperature of the earth since at least the time mammals appeared in the fossil record, so we can establish the earth’s ‘normal’ temperature. 2). The highest and lowest temperatures of the earth during this same period, so we can establish what a ‘fever’ and a ‘cold’ are in earth terms. 3). The mechanism by which the climate changed during this period, so that we can separate natural change from that due to the activities of Man. 4). The frequency between climatic changes, so that we can determine where we are currently in the cycle of climate changes.

5 — These measures cannot possibly be known as no one can travel back in time to ascertain accurate measurements to plug into the predictive models.

6 — The data used in place of actual measurements comes from assumptions used in the measuring of temperature using ice cores and rocks, etc. This represents a third and fourth level of separation from the scientific method: one for the need to use ice cores, and the other for the assumptions inherent in the use of those ice cores.

7 — The hypothesis assumes climate change is detrimental, and allows for no control, or possibility that it might well be beneficial to the planet and life on earth.

Interpreting the Data:

1 — The data being accepted is often taken from compromised locations, like the center of a city in the middle of the day, on a roof, from an un-shielded thermometer.

2 — The data has been known to be intentionally falsified.

3 — The data often does not meet the predictive results according to the models.

Drawing Conclusions:

1 — The conclusion has been asserted that Man is causing detrimental climate change.

2 — This assertion falsely claims to be based on ‘science.’

3 — The solutions are always a political plan that would raise taxes to — essentially — dismantle the global free market.

4 — It has not been demonstrated the recommended remedies will have a high likelihood of achieving climate change reversal.

5 — It has not been demonstrated that it is desirable to reverse any perceived or measured climate change.

6 — The ‘science’ behind the Climate Change argument is three times removed from the scientific method, based on faulty, questionable and demonstrably false data and results in a coarse of action that has not been demonstrated to be desirable, or to have a high probability of success.

Do you see the very real problems with the way ‘science’ is used in this world? I sure hope so, because this is an accurate portrayal of how ‘science’ is being used to affect a total re-making of the political and economic structures of the world. What’s more, you and I are perfectly capable of figuring all this out on our own. We do not need to be ‘scientists,’ or ‘experts.’ This is all common sense (a.k.a. basic logic).

This is why we should all remember what the scientific method is, how it works and what it can and cannot do. That way, they can’t use it to lie to, scare or manipulate you into accepting something that is actually harmful to you and your family.